UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Air Force 1
  
Air Force             
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 92.3159

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 8-11 208 H Denver Big East ( 7- 7, 94.4) 8-14 215 A Ohio State B1G (14- 2, 97.8) 11-17 222 A Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 7-15 228 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3-12, 88.2) 21- 8 302 H Marist MAAC ( 8- 8, 91.3) 22- 8 308 A Duke ACC (12- 5, 97.1) 11-16 322 N Marquette Big East ( 7- 7, 93.5) 8- 9 329 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 92.5) 11-15 405 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 8- 9, 89.8) 18- 6 412 H Queens ASUN ( 3-11, 87.6) 8- 7 419 A Mercer ASUN ( 2-11, 87.3) 12- 8 426 H Utah ASUN ( 6- 9, 93.3) 16-15 502 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 92.5) 15-12 504 N Utah ASUN ( 6- 9, 93.3) 11-10 507 A Rob Morris NEC ( 9- 5, 91.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Lafayette               8-11      -3    -3          -0.17
   208 H Denver                  8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.80
   215 A Ohio State             11-17      -6    -6           0.00
   222 A Boston Univ             7-15      -8    -4          -1.07
   228 H Quinnipiac             21- 8      13     5           0.00
   302 H Marist                 22- 8      14     2    +      3.09
   308 A Duke                   11-16      -5    -6           0.00
   322 N Marquette               8- 9      -1    -1           0.16
   329 A Jacksonville           11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.99
   405 H Bellarmine             18- 6      12     3           1.61
   412 H Queens                  8- 7       1     6    --    -4.00
   419 A Mercer                 12- 8       4     4          -0.13
   426 H Utah                   16-15       1     0           1.15
   502 A Jacksonville           15-12       3    -1    ++     4.01
   504 N Utah                   11-10       1    -1    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Queens                  8- 7       1     6    --    -4.00
   208 H Denver                  8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.80
   329 A Jacksonville           11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Jacksonville           15-12       3    -1    ++     4.01
   302 H Marist                 22- 8      14     2    +      3.09
   504 N Utah                   11-10       1    -1    +      2.00

Air Force Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albany Albany   Albany
Army Army insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Army
Bellarmine Air Force Air Force  
Binghamton Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Air Force
Boston Univ Boston Univ Boston Univ  
Brown Brown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brown
Bryant Bryant tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bryant
Bucknell Bucknell tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bucknell
Canisius Air Force Air Force   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Cleveland St Air Force tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Air Force
Colgate Colgate insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Colgate
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Dartmouth
Delaware Delaware tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Delaware
Denver Denver Denver  
Detroit Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Air Force
Drexel Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Air Force
Duke Duke Duke  
Fairfield Fairfield   Fairfield
Georgetown Georgetown insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Georgetown
Hampton Air Force Air Force   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Harvard Harvard Harvard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
High Point High Point insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) High Point
Hobart Air Force   Air Force
Hofstra Air Force   Air Force
Holy Cross Air Force tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Air Force
Iona Air Force Air Force   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Jacksonville Jacksonville insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) Jacksonville
JHU JHU insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) JHU
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Le Moyne Air Force tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Air Force
Lehigh Lehigh tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lehigh
LIU Air Force tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Air Force
Loyola Loyola tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Loyola
Manhattan Air Force insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Air Force
Marist Air Force Air Force  
Marquette Marquette Marquette  
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
UMass UMass tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UMass
Mass-Lowell Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Air Force
Mercer Air Force Air Force  
Mercyhurst Air Force Air Force   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Merrimack Air Force insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Air Force
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Michigan
Monmouth Air Force tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Air Force
Mt St Marys Air Force Air Force   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Navy Navy Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
NJIT Air Force tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Air Force
No Carolina No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) No Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State  
Penn Penn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn
Penn State Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Princeton Princeton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Princeton
Providence Providence Providence   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Queens Air Force Air Force  
Quinnipiac Air Force Air Force  
Richmond Richmond tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Richmond
Rob Morris Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Air Force
Rutgers Rutgers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Sacred Heart
Siena Siena tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Siena
St B'venture Air Force insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Air Force
St Johns Air Force insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) Air Force
St Josephs St Josephs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Josephs
Stony Brook Stony Brook tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Syracuse
Towson Towson   Towson
UMBC Air Force   Air Force
Utah Air Force Air Force  
Vermont Air Force tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Air Force
Villanova Villanova Villanova   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Virginia Virginia insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Virginia
VMI Air Force tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Air Force
Wagner Air Force   Air Force
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yale

PowerWise = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lafayette       (10- 6, 94.3)     8-11       -5.61      13.20       0.86         0.96            -4.54
   0 H Denver          ( 7- 7, 94.4)     8-14       -5.52      13.29      -0.86         0.96            -6.10
   0 A Ohio State      (14- 2, 97.8)    11-17       -2.05      16.76       0.86         0.96            -1.14
   0 A Boston Univ     (11- 5, 95.4)     7-15       -4.51      14.30       0.86         0.96            -3.49
   0 H Quinnipiac      ( 3-12, 88.2)    21- 8      -11.72       7.09      -0.86         0.96             5.96
   0 H Marist          ( 8- 8, 91.3)    22- 8       -8.63      10.18      -0.86         0.96             8.91
   0 A Duke            (12- 5, 97.1)    11-16       -2.77      16.04       0.86         0.96            -1.83
   0 N Marquette       ( 7- 7, 93.5)     8- 9       -6.43      12.39      -0.00         0.96            -6.14
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 9- 5, 92.5)    11-15       -7.44      11.38       0.86         0.96            -6.29
   0 H Bellarmine      ( 8- 9, 89.8)    18- 6      -10.12       8.70      -0.86         0.96             7.49
   0 H Queens          ( 3-11, 87.6)     8- 7      -12.26       6.56      -0.86         0.96             5.45
   0 A Mercer          ( 2-11, 87.3)    12- 8      -12.57       6.24       0.86         0.96             6.79
   0 H Utah            ( 6- 9, 93.3)    16-15       -6.58      12.23      -0.86         0.96            10.87
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 9- 5, 92.5)    15-12       -7.44      11.38       0.86         0.96            11.70
   0 N Utah            ( 6- 9, 93.3)    11-10       -6.58      12.23      -0.00         0.96            11.69
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        39.32

winning pts = 68.8548 losing points = -29.5367

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------