UPDATED: 04-03-26 10:21 PDT

men Air Force 1
  
Air Force             
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 89.9418

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Lafayette PATRIOT ( 5- 5, 91.0) 13-12 207 A Denver BE ( 4- 5, 95.1) 2-10 214 H Ohio State B10 ( 8- 2, 95.8) 9-14 224 A Siena MAAC ( 8- 2, 91.6) 9-21 228 A Marist MAAC ( 5- 3, 89.8) 11-13 307 H Duke ACC ( 8- 1, 98.1) 6-21 312 H Syracuse ACC ( 9- 2, 98.3) 11-17 321 A Providence BE ( 4- 7, 91.3) 18-17 328 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 5- 4, 95.0) 10-16 404 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 4- 8, 89.5) 411 A Queens ASUN ( 4- 5, 86.7) 418 H Mercer ASUN ( 5- 4, 89.8) 425 A Utah ASUN ( 4- 3, 95.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Lafayette              13-12       1     0           1.24
   207 A Denver                  2-10      -8    -6           0.00
   214 H Ohio State              9-14      -5    -5           0.00
   224 A Siena                   9-21     -12    -3    -     -2.48
   228 A Marist                 11-13      -2    -1          -1.29
   307 H Duke                    6-21     -15    -7           0.00
   312 H Syracuse               11-17      -6    -8           0.00
   321 A Providence             18-17       1    -2    +      3.22
   328 H Jacksonville           10-16      -6    -4          -0.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Siena                   9-21     -12    -3    -     -2.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Providence             18-17       1    -2    +      3.22

Air Force Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albany Albany   Albany
Army Army insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Army
Bellarmine Air Force tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Air Force
Binghamton Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Air Force
Boston Univ Boston Univ insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Boston Univ
Brown Brown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brown
Bryant Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Air Force
Bucknell Bucknell tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bucknell
Canisius Air Force tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Air Force
Cleveland State Air Force tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Air Force
Colgate Colgate   Colgate
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dartmouth
Delaware Delaware   Delaware
Denver Denver Denver  
Detroit Mercy Air Force tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Air Force
Drexel Drexel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Drexel
Duke Duke Duke  
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield
Georgetown Georgetown insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Georgetown
Hampton Air Force   Air Force
Harvard Harvard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Harvard
High Point High Point tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) High Point
Hobart Hobart   Hobart
Hofstra Air Force tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Air Force
Holy Cross Holy Cross insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Holy Cross
Iona Iona   Iona
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville  
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Johns Hopkins
Lafayette Air Force Air Force  
Le Moyne Air Force tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Air Force
Lehigh Lehigh   Lehigh
LIU LIU   LIU
Loyola Loyola tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Loyola
Manhattan Air Force tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Air Force
Marist Marist Marist  
Marquette Marquette tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marquette
Maryland Maryland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts   Massachusetts
UMassLowell Air Force   Air Force
Mercer Air Force insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Air Force
Mercyhurst Air Force   Air Force
Merrimack Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Air Force
Michigan Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Michigan
Monmouth Air Force   Air Force
Mt St Marys Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Air Force
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Navy
NJIT Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Air Force
North Carolina North Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State  
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pennsylvania
Penn State Penn State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Penn State
Princeton Princeton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Princeton
Providence Air Force Air Force  
Queens Air Force   Air Force
Quinnipiac Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Air Force
Richmond Richmond   Richmond
Robert Morris Robert Morris   Robert Morris
Rutgers Rutgers insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart   Sacred Heart
Siena Siena Siena  
St Bonnies Air Force   Air Force
St Johns Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Air Force
St Josephs St Josephs tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) St Josephs
Stony Brook Stony Brook   Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse  
Towson Towson   Towson
UMBC Air Force   Air Force
Utah Utah tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Utah
Vermont Vermont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Vermont
Villanova Villanova   Villanova
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
VMI Air Force   Air Force
Wagner Air Force   Air Force
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yale

PowerWise = 26


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.81

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Lafayette       ( 5- 5, 91.0)    13-12       -8.90       9.29      -0.82         0.98             8.29
   0 A Denver          ( 4- 5, 95.1)     2-10       -4.77      13.43       0.82         0.98            -3.87
   0 H Ohio State      ( 8- 2, 95.8)     9-14       -4.12      14.08      -0.82         0.98            -4.83
   0 A Siena           ( 8- 2, 91.6)     9-21       -8.26       9.94       0.82         0.98            -7.28
   0 A Marist          ( 5- 3, 89.8)    11-13      -10.06       8.14       0.82         0.98            -9.04
   0 H Duke            ( 8- 1, 98.1)     6-21       -1.78      16.42      -0.82         0.98            -2.54
   0 H Syracuse        ( 9- 2, 98.3)    11-17       -1.62      16.58      -0.82         0.98            -2.39
   0 A Providence      ( 4- 7, 91.3)    18-17       -8.55       9.64       0.82         0.98            10.23
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 5- 4, 95.0)    10-16       -4.86      13.34      -0.82         0.98            -5.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -16.96

winning pts = 18.5289 losing points = -35.4897

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------